The Reason We Started a Blog
So only a few hours after I trumpeted the news of Barack Obama taking the lead in Virginia, a new poll by Christopher Newport University was released showing John McCain with a commanding 9 point lead in the Commonwealth. This poll was enough to bounce the Real Clear Politics average back into the McCain column.
Hence the reason that we started a blog. This information has changed twice today and had we just relegated it to our evening newscast we would be going back and forth quite a bit. Expect quite a few of these bouncing polls over the next few months.
Here is the new breakdown:
|Poll||Date||Sample||McCain (R)||Obama (D)||Spread|
|RCP Average||09/07 – 09/14||—||47.6||46.2||McCain +1.4|
|PPP (D)||09/13 – 09/14||1090 LV||46||48||Obama +2|
|CNU Virginia Poll||09/10 – 09/14||500 RV||48||39||McCain +9|
|FOX News/Rasmussen||09/14 – 09/14||500 LV||48||48||Tie|
|SurveyUSA||09/12 – 09/14||732 LV||46||50||Obama +4|
|CNN/Time||09/07 – 09/09||920 RV||50||46||McCain +4
Also in this poll is a breakdown of the Warner- Gilmore race ahead of their big debate tomorrow.
It shows Former Governor Mark Warner with a commanding 54-30 lead over his opponent Former Governor Jim Gilmore.
The results of the Warner-Gilmore race are actually encouraging for the McCain Camp. I am sure they are pleased to see a poll that shows them with a comfortable lead, even with the Republican candidate for US Senate trailing far behind.