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Decision Virginia Archive 8/08- 7/12

Dueling Polls Give Obama Virginia Edge

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It seems that the Commonwealth is following the trend of the rest of the nation and leaning their support to Barack Obama. A new set of polls out are positive for Obama, but show that their is still quite a bit of uncertainty as to who the Old Dominion will vote for come election day. Here is the latest breakdown from Real Clear Politics:

Virginia: McCain vs. Obama

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 09/27 – 10/01 49.0 46.6 Obama +2.4
Mason-Dixon 09/29 – 10/01 625 RV 45 48 McCain +3
CNN/Time 09/28 – 09/30 684 LV 53 44 Obama +9
InAdv/PollPosition 09/29 – 09/29 436 LV 51 45 Obama +6
FOX News/Rasmussen 09/28 – 09/28 500 LV 50 47 Obama +3
ARG 09/27 – 09/29 600 LV 46 49 McCain +3

See All Virginia: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

As you can see the RCP average is just over 2% in Obama’s favor. This could have been much worse for the Republicans, if not for a new Mason-Dixon poll released today that showed McCain leading by 3 points. A CNN/Time poll shows Obama with a 9 point lead and the Insider Advantage/Poll Position poll has him up by 3. It is clear that the perception of the economic conditions of the country have had a similar impact on McCain in Virginia as they have in other parts of the state.

This again shows how important it is for Sarah Palin to rally the Republican base once again in her debate tonight with Joe Biden.


Written by Ryan Nobles

October 2, 2008 at 8:25 pm

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