Dueling Polls Give Obama Virginia Edge
It seems that the Commonwealth is following the trend of the rest of the nation and leaning their support to Barack Obama. A new set of polls out are positive for Obama, but show that their is still quite a bit of uncertainty as to who the Old Dominion will vote for come election day. Here is the latest breakdown from Real Clear Politics:
|Poll||Date||Sample||Obama (D)||McCain (R)||Spread|
|RCP Average||09/27 – 10/01||—||49.0||46.6||Obama +2.4|
|Mason-Dixon||09/29 – 10/01||625 RV||45||48||McCain +3|
|CNN/Time||09/28 – 09/30||684 LV||53||44||Obama +9|
|InAdv/PollPosition||09/29 – 09/29||436 LV||51||45||Obama +6|
|FOX News/Rasmussen||09/28 – 09/28||500 LV||50||47||Obama +3|
|ARG||09/27 – 09/29||600 LV||46||49||McCain +3|
As you can see the RCP average is just over 2% in Obama’s favor. This could have been much worse for the Republicans, if not for a new Mason-Dixon poll released today that showed McCain leading by 3 points. A CNN/Time poll shows Obama with a 9 point lead and the Insider Advantage/Poll Position poll has him up by 3. It is clear that the perception of the economic conditions of the country have had a similar impact on McCain in Virginia as they have in other parts of the state.
This again shows how important it is for Sarah Palin to rally the Republican base once again in her debate tonight with Joe Biden.