New poll shows Moran on top in Democratic Primary
Conventional wisdom among many political insiders is that former DNC chair Terry McAuliffe is the candidate to beat in the race for the Democratic primary. In fact some lefty bloggers were saying not to long ago that the Macker had the chance to run away with the primary, leaving veteran lawmakers Brian Moran and Creigh Deeds in the dust.
That scenario would not be a surprise. McAuliffe has a decided fund raising advantage, a full time paid staff approaching 100 and has already spent close to $500,000 in paid media. (We have talked before about McAuliffe’s early advertising push being more than just a vanity buy.) But despite these clear advantages, a new poll out shows this race is far from over and it actually shows McAuliffe trailing.
According to the survey conducted by Public Policy Polling, Moran’s lead is not substantial, only 4 points. But that 4 points is just enough for him to get beyond the margin of error. Here is the breakdown:
Brian Moran: 22%
Terry McAuliffe: 18%
Creigh Deeds: 15%
More on the this poll means after the jump.
While the Moran camp should be happy with these numbers (and they are), it’s not quite yet the time to start popping champagne corks. Perhaps the most important number you see above is the undecided pool. Close to half of those polled said they had no idea who they were voting for yet. A large pool of undecideds is a good thing for the candidate with the most resources.
The poll also weighs the primary race for Lt. Governor and that shows an edge to former finance secretary Jody Wagner. She is far ahead of her three other challengers who each only brought in 4% to her 21%. That race also has a large pool of undecided voters, with 67% saying they haven’t made up their mind.
You can see the complete breakdown of the poll (including some interesting favorable/unfavorable numbers) here.