DV Archive

Decision Virginia Archive 8/08- 7/12

McDonnell/GOP Ticket opens wide lead in new poll

with 2 comments

While much fodder has been made over a series of polls taken in the race for Governor most of them have been open to skepticism because of their method for gathering the information. Many of these polls were conducted via automated means, which is still widely debated as an appropriate statistical gathering mechanism.

Often times, reputable national mainstream media outlets would report on the polling in the race and would use a caveat when describing the numbers, because of the use of that method. It would lead them back to the last Washington Post poll conducted last month that showed the race as a virtual tie.

That survey will no longer matter, as today the Post released another phone survey, of more than 1,000 Virginia residents that now shows Bob McDonnell and his Republican ticketmates leading by 9 points. In addition to the encouraging news for Republicans in the overall numbers, the insider numbers show McDonnell shrinking the gap he once had with female voters, increasing his lead with independents and running competitively in Northern Virginia. There is very little that could be considered encouraging for the campaign of Creigh Deeds.

This latest poll, now gives McDonnell an 8.5% lead in the new average of public polling data gathered by Real Clear Politics.

However, this by no means indicates the race is over. Deeds, you will recall trailed by similar numbers in the Democratic primary before pulling ahead in the 11th hour and the candidates have two more debates on the docket before the final vote on November 3rd.  Deeds officials continue to say that their internal polling numbers show a race far more competitive than the public polling would indicate.

Here is a breakdown in all three statewide races according to the Washington Post poll:

Governor
Bob McDonnell (R)        53%
Creigh Deeds (D)    44%

Lt. Governor
Bill Bolling (R)                49%
Jody Wagner (D)           40%

Attorney General
Ken Cuccinelli (R)         49%
Steve Shannon (D)       40%

2 Responses

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  1. Mr. Mcdonnell is doing well I think because people feel that personal connection when you meet him. All I hear from Deeds are endless ads like a broken record attacking issues that have nothing to do with today’s Virginia. I met Mr. Mcdonnell at the Herndon Senior Center yesterday, it was nice of him to spend an hour and a half with us. He is very personable, not your typical politicians who just shake hands and slap your back.

    Wang Hong

    October 9, 2009 at 8:41 am

  2. RUN AN AD AGAINST Bob’s4Jobs …what a joke.

    He is going to sell state liquor stores to unregulated private corp. THAT WILL EMPLOY MINIMUM WAGE PARTTIME WORKERS thereby eliminating decent jobs that people have enjoyed for regular income , benefits and retirement.

    BOB MUST HAVE BEEN WITH BUSH ON PRIVATIZING SOCIAL SECURITY. KEITH

    KEITH

    October 9, 2009 at 9:24 am


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