DV Archive

Decision Virginia Archive 8/08- 7/12

Posts Tagged ‘Mitt Romney

Poll shows positive signs for Obama in Virginia

leave a comment »

By: Ryan Nobles – bio | email

President Barack Obama has made Virginia an important focus and it is paying off. A new poll from Quinnipiac shows Obama opening up his largest lead in the 2012 campaign. He is up 8 points.  The poll also revealed that Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell would have a negligible impact on the ultimate outcome of the race.

See the full poll on Quinnipiac’s web site

It is early, but the Obama campaign has to be thankful that their work leading to success.  Team Obama already has a great deal of paid staff on the ground and the president has made many visits to the commonwealth. Democrats also believe that their work drawing attention to controversial bills in the General Assembly on abortion and gun rights are having an impact. According to this poll, Obama leads Mitt Romney among women 52%-39%.

Of course it is very early and Romney paid no attention to Virginia during the GOP primary because of the lack of competition. He has almost no organized staff on the ground here and his only visits have been private fundraisers.  And it is also worth mentioning that he is not the official nominee quite yet.

I have more on what this poll means in the context of the 2012 race on NBC12.com.

RICHMOND (WWBT)-  The topsy-turvy Virginia political picture took another turn today, with a new poll that is filled with good news for President Obama.  It is just one poll, but democrats are very satisfied with what it says in many key areas that will be vital to the November election.

It is still a very close race, but it appears that President Obama’s intense focus on the commonwealth is starting to pay off.  A new poll conducted by Quinnipiac shows the Obama- Biden ticket with their largest lead in Virginia, 8 points over Mitt Romney.

Democrats credit the intense focus on social issues in the recent general assembly session as part of their success. They have coordinated on all levels to bring a bright focus to bills, sponsored by republicans impacting abortion and guns.

That may have pushed Obama to a 52%- 39% lead with women.

But republicans have yet to pick a candidate. While Romney is in the lead, The GOP nomination isn’t sealed. On CNN Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell said the long primary is not a problem.

“He’s getting more and more endorsements from key people, conservatives, independents, moderates,” said McDonnell, Romney supporter.  “I think he’ll be the nominee and I think it will be by June.”

read and see the whole story on NBC12.com.

Written by Ryan Nobles

March 20, 2012 at 10:46 pm

Virginia primary: by the numbers

leave a comment »

By: Ryan Nobles – bio | email

It was largely an uneventful night in the Commonwealth of Virginia, but we did learn a little bit about the electorate and where it may lead us in November. For the most part the news was mostly good for former Massachussettes Gov. Mitt Romney.

Here is a look at some of the more interesting numbers that came out of Tuesday nights vote:

VA Primary Results:

Delegate breakdown:
*Total up grabs- 46
*Romney- 43
*Paul- 3

Exit Polls
(If all had made the ballot)

Romney- 40%
Paul- 24%
Santorum- 20%
Gingrich- 13%

Geographic Results
Romney vote totals

Richmond area- 59%
Hampton Roads- 58%
D.C. Suburbs- 59%
Northern VA- 52%

Total Turnout
263,186 of 5,155,342 total voters (5.105%)

Now on to the general election for Virginia voters.. no rest for the political talk as President Barack Obama comes to Prince George on Friday.

Written by Ryan Nobles

March 6, 2012 at 10:29 pm

Super Tuesday in Virginia

with one comment

Today is the biggest day in the Republican Presidential Primary contest, but unfortunately Virginia’s role is expected to be a minor one. With only Mitt Romney and Ron Paul on the ballot, Virginia was not really in play. None of the candidates made much of an effort to garner votes and as a result the focus will be on other states with closer contests and more delegates at stake.

However, that doesn’t mean the vote is not important. Virginia will still contribute 49 delegates to the eventual GOP nominee and the state is still one of the most important come the fall election. We will have complete coverage today on air and on-line. Including the latest returns when the polls close at 7pm.

Also.. today on NBC12 First at 4, we will talk live with DNC Chairperson Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Democrats are ready to put Virginia in play for November, wasting no time after the Virginia primary. President Barack Obama will visit the Central Virginia on Friday.

Update: In addition to Rep. Wasserman Schultz, I will also be joined by Virginia Victory Chairman Pete Snyder. Synder is a close ally of Governor McDonnell and rumored to be considering a run for statewide office in Virginia.

As always, I’ll be looking for your view of what is happening at your polling location. Send me your tweets @ryanobles or post your perspective on my facebook page. I’ll update what you are seeing throughout the day.

Our Tayleigh Davis was at a polling location in Church Hill from the time it opened at 6 am until 7 and did not see one voter. Church Hill is not a very GOP heavy area, but the fact that not one voter showed up to cast their ballot, could give us an idea as to how slow the turnout will be today.

The view from the ground: 

@PatrickSmithRVA  just voted at gordon elementary, was voter number 261. crazy low turnout today.

@MzInvestigator  I was # 125 to vote. That’s 80 people on my precinct since 1:00.

@BradfordAmbrose Just voted with my mom for the first time at the Dorey Park Precinct in Eastern Henrico. We were the only two voters in sight.

@bollach- at 9:42 I was the 47th in my precinct (Southampton Baptist serving Stratford Hills/Oxford/Cherokee).

@frashure  At 1:30 I was the 85th voter at my precinct in Prince George. That’s 0.004% of registered voters in the county.

@Joseph_Taylor: I was voter 16 at 8:30, one campaign worker for Paul/Bob Marshall outside. I voted for Ron Paul

@notashamed87: I voted at 7:40 in Mangohick. I was #7. #5, #6 and #8 were there, too. Polling lady said, “We’re having a rush!”

@MzInvestigator: my bf just voted at Beulah precinct in chesterfield. He was #48.

@taotetek: Just got back from the Battery Park polling place – no one else there but the workers, I was voter #8

@MCPollock: It was a very slow day, at about 8:30, only about 12 had voted at my precinct #204, I voted for @MittRomney

@blairmatfleet: I voted 4 #RonPaul in Hanover at about 10:30. I was the 51st vote at my precinct.

20120306-094817.jpg

@AndyJenksNBC12: The media gathered at Main St. Station outnumber the actual number of voters (6) since the polls opened. http://t.co/cZNkQ1Hs

Kristen Bartholow Anderl Only 27 people so far at Providence Middle School by the time I voted at 815. It was a ghost town.

Jeff Dzado – I saw a whole lot of nothing at my polling place. The place was a ghost town except for the 3 or 5 workers.

@pjsykes- 6:30am about 7 people were working but I was the only one voting. I didn’t see any other voters leaving/arriving.

——————————————————————–

This morning I previewed what to expect from the Virginia primary on NBC12 News Today. You can see my chat with Gray Hall and Heather Sullivan below:

Written by Ryan Nobles

March 6, 2012 at 8:58 am

Virginia presidential primary could lead to chaos

with one comment

By: Ryan Nobles – bio | email

After what happened in Michigan last week, the Romney campaign is worried it could happen again. Voters, who aren’t necessarily supporters of their opponent, going to the polls and casting a ballot for them in an open primary, just to keep Romney from the nomination.

The Super Tuesday state where Romney is most vulnerable may be Virginia. With an open primary, no democratic contest and several GOP candidates who didn’t make the Virginia primary ballot, many people interested in participating in the process are left with nothing to do. While they all support someone else, they are united in one thing: Seeing Mitt Romney lose.

Tonight on NBC12 I explored the possibility of “Operation Chaos” coming to Virginia:

RICHMOND (WWBT) – The Virginia presidential primary is now less than a week away and even though there are only two of a possible four candidates on the ballot, there is still the potential for the vote to create havoc.

It is not a new phenomenon, voters taking advantage of an open primary to cast a ballot for a candidate they may not support, but one that could help defeat another candidate.

Liz Mair is a libertarian leaning republican political consultant, who to put it bluntly, is not very happy with the GOP presidential field.

“I am a disenfranchised Virginia voter,” she said. “That’s actually what I would say.”

At one time she worked for Texas Governor Rick Perry, and she liked former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, both are no longer in the race. Mair is not sure who to support, but she knows who she doesn’t like.

“I have historically not had a lot of love for Mitt Romney,” she said.

Mair will cast her vote for the only other option: Ron Paul. The Romney campaign is worried there are many others like her. Republicans who aren’t ready to support the former Massachusetts governor, and those who like Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich, the other candidates still in the race, but not on the ballot.

Mair, who has been around many campaigns, believes if things fall the right way, it could have an impact.

“I wouldn’t want to predict what that would mean numerically,” said Mair. “But I think it could result in some interesting activity.”

..read and see the full story on NBC12.com

Written by Ryan Nobles

February 29, 2012 at 9:37 pm

Buying a Voice: Obama hits the airwaves

with one comment

It will be the first of many, but the Obama campaign is on the air with their first campaign ad of 2012. If you haven’t seen it yet, take a look:

In 30 seconds, the commercial attempts to dismantle the claims by “Americans for Prosperity” and then build the case that the president is actually having success in creating green energy jobs.  The ad will be the first of many paid for by “Obama for America”.

Obama for America or OFA, is the name of President Barack Obama‘s re-election organization. It is the most traditional form of political fund raising.

The average voter wishing to contribute the Obama campaign would donate to OFA.  A quick check of the Federal Election Commission web site reveals literally thousands of donors to OFA with Virginia ties.

But while that donor list is very traditional and something the president is proud of, just this week he gave approval for his supporters to actively begin raising money through a practice he has criticized in the past.

Supporters of the president have launched “Priorities USA Action”. Priorities is a Super-PAC, Meaning its donors can give without limit, but they must disclose those donations.  It’s not directly connected to Obama for America, although the president has given the group his approval.

Currently the PAC has spent most of its time hammering Mitt Romney.

It’s raised more than $3 million.  The two biggest donations, $2 million from Dreamworks CEO Jeffery Katzenburg and $500 thousand from NewsWeb Corporation honcho Fred Eychaner.

But keep in mind, this SuperPAC, has not bought any ads in Virginia quite yet.

The Obama campaign did not come to the decision to support their SuperPAC lightly. In a blog post informing their supporters of the move, Jim Messina the Obama campaign manager said the campaign will not “play by two sets of rules”

You can see the ad below:

——————————————————

Here is where we got our information:

*The Obama for America Federal Election Commission filing can be found here.

*The Priorities USA Action web site can be found here.

*Open Secrets details the funding streams for Priorties USA Action.

McDonnell headlines “presidential town hall” in South Carolina

with one comment

Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell is not running for president, in fact he hasn’t even endorsed a candidate for president, but this weekend the republican will be in a hotbed of political activity as he headlines a town hall in Myrtle Beach, S.C.

McDonnell will be the guest of Rep. Tim Scott. Scott has invited every single major republican candidates for president to his district to discuss the presidential race and in particular South Carolina’s role in the process. His last guest, was the race’s current front runner, Mitt Romney.

 (Photo courtesy of VoteTimScott1)

This is a high profile slot for McDonnell, who is still waiting to endorse and is considered a prime candidate for Vice President. In a release, Scott eludes to those possibilites.

“While Governor McDonnell is not currently a candidate for President, he will play a key role in the 2012 election and beyond.” Scott said. “He has a proven record of job creation and keeping taxes low in Virginia – a state the GOP must win in 2012.  Our voters are eager to hear his views on the Presidential field, and on how we will defeat President Obama.”

McDonnell meanwhile heaped praise on Scott, a rising GOP star.

“Tim is a leading voice in the new wave of bold and innovative conservative leaders who are committed to getting our nation’s economy back on track and our fiscal house in order,” he said.

If you happen to be making a winter jaunt to the beach this weekend and would like to check out McDonnell on the stump, the details are below:

Rep. Tim Scott Presidential Town Hall:
5:30 pm at Celebrity Square at Broadway on the Beach
1325 Celebrity Circle in Myrtle Beach, SC.  
Seating will begin at 4:30 pm, on a first-come, first-served basis.

For more info: www.timstownhalls.com

Written by Ryan Nobles

January 10, 2012 at 5:11 pm

RPV presidential petition process marred by controversy, tragedy

leave a comment »

By: Ryan Nobles – bio | email

At a time when Virginia is expected to be considered one of the most important states in the 2012 presidential election, its first moment in the national spotlight was overshadowed by only two of the potential seven candidates gaining access to the ballot and a party volunteer losing her life in a car accident.

Two different GOP officials confirm that a woman, that was helping count and verify signatures submitted by presidential candidates, was involved in a serious car crash after leaving the signature canvassing session. She was killed in the accident.

Her identity was not immediatley available.

The fatal accident was the capper of a difficult and somewhat embarrassing night for the state republican party. Of the seven potential candidates for president, only four attempted to submit the necessary 10,000 signatures to get on the March 6th ballot. Of the four that decided to participate only two, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Texas Congressman Ron Paul, were certified as official candidates.

Texas Governor Rick Perry fell far short of being certified. A GOP activist said that despite telling the state Board of Elections that he submitted more than 11 thousand signatures, the Perry campaign handed in somewhere between 4-6 thousands qualified signatures.

Then early Saturday morning, The RPV determined that House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who had just spent two days drumming up support and cash for the state party, also did not qualify for the ballot. Gingrich was disqualified at 2:50am.

The credible conservative blog, Bearing Drift is reporting that one of the Gingrich’s petition gatherers was not qualified. According to BD, that accounted for as many as 2 thousand of the speaker’s signatures being tossed, but could open the door to a legal challenge.

Losing both Gingrich and Perry from the Virginia primary ballot is shocking, given that both have worked to develop strong ties to the Commonwealth. Gingrich is a Virginia resident and has spent quite a bit of time traveling the state over the past several years. Perry is close with Governor Bob McDonnell and headlined a very successful fundraiser for the party in September.

In the wake of this petition drama, pundits from both sides of the aisle are saying that this process has separated the true contenders from those just going through the motions.

Norm Leahy wrote this morning that the Virginia Republican petition process actually became the first actual presidential primary. “A hardened cynic might say this result exposes those campaigns for what they are: glorified book tours,” Wrote Leahy. He went on to say, “Getting on Virginia’s ballot was a test of organizational skill and grassroots strength. It was also something much more mundane: it tested whether campaigns could pay attention to a calendar and read instructions.”

Former Democratic Party of Virginia chairman Paul Goldman, who predicted Perry and Gingrich wouldn’t make it, said the failure of the major candidates indicates problems with their campaign infrastructure. “This is a failing of the national Perry and Gingrich campaigns who are supposed to helping locals get it done,” he said. However, Goldman believes the people are the ones who suffer. He believes the General Assembly should entertain the idea of changing the law to give these candidates a reprieve in time for the March primary.

Meanwhile Virginia Democrats certified President Barack Obama as their only candidate for the March primary.

Written by Ryan Nobles

December 24, 2011 at 10:19 am